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Bangladesh · Green Finance

Follow the green money: Where Bangladesh invests, and why renewables lag behind

Bangladesh's green-finance portfolio has expanded rapidly, but lending patterns remain heavily weighted towards industrial efficiency projects.

Md Ibrahim Khalilullah · October 6, 2026 · 15 min read

Data current to 22 July 2026. Bangladesh Bank figures cover the quarter to 31 December 2025, its latest published review.

Shares are of green loans outstanding at 31 Dec 2025 (Bangladesh Bank); the other 50.76% sits in other green categories. Grid share: World Bank, published 22 July 2026 (period not stated). 2025 disbursement met 44.78% of Bangladesh Bank’s own target.

Core finding

Bangladesh built a vocabulary of green banking faster than a renewable-energy lending market.

Three questions form the spine of the story: the portfolio is large, the renewable share is small, and the power targets sit far ahead of how banks actually lend.

Where is the money going?

A growing green book is not a growing renewable book.

Outstanding green finance stands at Tk 77,140.22 crore. Energy efficiency holds 41.4%. Renewable energy holds 7.84%. The efficiency book is 5.28× larger. The remaining 50.76% sits in other green categories, such as green establishments and liquid-waste management.

A green taxonomy can call both an efficient boiler and a solar plant beneficial. It cannot make capital follow the power mix Bangladesh says it wants.

Is green finance actually growing?

4.2× since 2021 — and still short of the regulator’s target.

Disbursement has grown more than 4.2× since 2021, yet 2025 met only 44.78% of Bangladesh Bank’s own annual target, and dipped slightly below 2024. Growth without a renewable tilt still leaves the transition underfunded.

What does the power system need?

1.5% of generation today vs 20% by 2030.

Policy wants renewables at 20% of electricity by 2030 and 30% by 2040. Today they supply about 1.5% of national grid supply. Banks are not failing a climate label. They are matching cash-flow profiles they already know how to underwrite.

How to read this story

Every key figure is printed on the page. Tapping a bar, branch or category adds detail, and highlights efficiency, renewables or other green uses across the charts. Definitions, dates and sources are under “How we did this” at the end.

The Split

Where the money is parked

Scroll through each branch. Widths are drawn to exact scale. Click a ribbon anytime to follow that category across the rest of the story.

Scroll the split

Whole stock

Tk 77,140.22 cr · 100%

Of Tk 77,140.22 crore outstanding, three branches tell the story. Scroll to walk each slice.

Scroll to continue

The ratio to remember

In green loans outstanding at 31 Dec 2025, energy efficiency is 5.28× the renewable book. A green taxonomy can label both beneficial; it cannot make capital follow the power mix Bangladesh says it wants.

By the Numbers

A growing portfolio, a widening gap

Switch charts, then click a bar. Every panel keeps a sticky detail aside so the figure is never stranded from its meaning.

Interactive charts

Five views of the same gap: disbursement shortfall, quarterly gap, sustainable mix, power capacity, and refinance flow.

2022–2023Not in our dataset
Bangladesh Bank’s 2025 targetTk 67,820.83 cr

All bars share one scale, set by the 2025 target. The target applies to 2025 only; we do not have targets for earlier years. 2025 disbursement was slightly below 2024.

Source: Bangladesh Bank quarterly sustainable-finance review, October–December 2025 (40 of 61 banks and 10 of 34 finance companies recorded green-finance exposure in the quarter); BPDB Energy Scenario 2024-25; SREDA; World Bank.

Growth without a renewable tilt

Disbursement grew more than 4.2× since 2021, yet 2025 met only 44.78% of Bangladesh Bank’s own annual target.

Why Efficiency Is Easier to Bank

Lenders aren’t choosing climate labels. They’re choosing cash-flow profiles.

Pick a side to open its explore list. Further down, move money between the two books and watch how far the scale has to travel before it balances.

Energy Efficiency · 41.4% · Tk 31,931.42 cr

A balance-sheet loan to a known company. Click a point.

  • Selected point

    Efficiency is a loan to a company banks already know. The saving shows up against a current fuel bill, often within months — a payback of about 3 years that fits a normal lending horizon.

41.4%7.84%
What-if · not a projection
Nothing movedBooks equal
Efficiency
41.4%
Renewables
7.84%
Gap
5.28×

The efficiency book is 5.28× larger because it fits how banks already lend.

Illustrative only. The total stays Tk 77,140.22 cr at 31 Dec 2025. No lender has moved this money; nothing here is a forecast.

On the record

“After we buy a machine, the central bank sometimes says the fund is not available. We then have to go to commercial banks for a high-cost loan, which creates a barrier to renewable-energy growth.”

Md Saleuddin Zaman Khan · Managing director, NZ Apparels

“Financial institutions often do not have credit profiles for rural people interested in small-scale renewable-energy projects. They consider this group of borrowers risky and show less interest in providing loans.”

Shafiqul Alam · Energy analyst, IEEFA

“Existing sustainable-finance policies, refinance schemes and incentives have unintentionally reinforced this bias by rewarding short-term, balance-sheet-friendly efficiency gains rather than patient capital for renewables.”

Zakir Hossain Khan · Chief executive, Change Initiative

Structural, not moral

Banks are matching cash-flow profiles they know how to underwrite. Until tenor, collateral and off-taker risk change, the portfolio will keep tilting the same way.

The Refinance Design Problem

Cheap money, hard route, unequal tickets

Bangladesh Bank’s refinance window prices customer loans at no more than 5%, but participating banks must lend first and seek reimbursement after. Scroll the four-step path, switch tickets, and at the last step choose what happens.

How refinance sequences

Refinance arrives≤5% to borrowerFunds unavailableCommercial loanAppraise2Disburse3Trial run4Refinance?

Step 01 of 04

Bank appraises & takes collateral

The participating lender makes the credit decision and holds the repayment risk.

Bank carries the riskRepayment on the loan.

Riding along: a ~Tk 100 cr efficiency ticket, large enough to justify the wait.

Scroll to continue

Same money, more files

What-if · not a projection

Every loan file runs the four-step path above. Pick an amount to place and count the files.

Efficiency machines10 files
Rooftop solar100 files

To place Tk 1,000 cr, a bank appraises 10 efficiency files or 100 rooftop-solar files, each one facing the same wait for reimbursement.

Illustrative, using the typical ticket sizes cited in our reporting (efficiency ~Tk100 cr, rooftop solar ~Tk10 cr). At the Tk300 cr upper end of efficiency asks, the gap is wider still.

Borrower proposal

Conditional pre-approval: reserve refinance once appraisal is done, so the low-cost facility is committed before equipment is ordered.

“After we buy a machine, the central bank sometimes says the fund is not available. We then have to go to commercial banks for a high-cost loan, which creates a barrier to renewable-energy growth.”

Md Saleuddin Zaman Khan · Managing director, NZ Apparels

The Power Reality

Targets rise to 30%. The latest reading is 1.5%.

Policy aims for renewables to supply 20% of electricity by 2030 and 30% by 2040. On 22 July 2026 the World Bank put their share of national grid supply at about 1.5%, without stating the period it covers.

  • Observed
  • Target
  • Event
10%20%30%0%+91% a year needed+4% a year needed2009BB refinance schemelaunched2023Refinance fund raisedto Tk1,000cr2025Renewable EnergyPolicy 2025~1.5%2026Latest reading: about1.5% of national gridsupply20% target2030Policy target: 20% ofelectricity30% target2040Policy target: 30% ofelectricity

2026 · Observed

Renewables were about 1.5% of national grid supply. Source: World Bank, published 22 July 2026.

Renewable capacity, all systems incl. off-grid (SREDA, 22 Jul 2026): 1,818.86 MWCapacity needed by 2030 (IEEFA and CPD models): 5,831-18,202 MW

We plot only dated readings. Our sources give no annual series for this share, so no trend line is drawn. Hover or tap a year to inspect it; targets show how far the latest reading falls short. The curved arrows are our calculation of the constant yearly growth each target requires from the latest reading, placed in 2026, the year it was published. They are not a trend or a forecast.

Explore further

Explore the pathways

The main story stops at the stock split, the refinance sequence and the ambition timeline. The headline figure for each pathway is printed below; open a panel for the full chart.

Needed by 2030: 5,831 MW (IEEFA) to 18,202 MW (CPD), against 1,818.86 MW installed today (SREDA, 22 Jul 2026, incl. off-grid).

Annual investment averaged US$238m (2018-2023 average). IEEFA says it must reach US$933–980m a year through 2030 and US$1.37–1.46bn a year in 2031-2040, roughly 4–6× the historical pace.

Accountability

Who the numbers point to

The gap is in published figures, not in a label. Three institutions already hold the records this story uses. What follows is what those records show, and who spoke on the record to the reporter.

Bangladesh Bank

Its own review is the source of the 5.28× gap: Tk 31,931.42 crore in efficiency against Tk 6,045.37 crore in renewables at 31 Dec 2025. It also set the 2025 disbursement target. Lenders met 44.78% of it, and 2025 came in slightly below 2024. The refinance window still asks banks to lend first and seek reimbursement later.

Banks and finance companies

Across all 61 banks and 34 finance companies, efficiency is 41.4% of green loans outstanding and renewable energy is 7.84%. In Q4 2025, only 40 banks and 10 finance companies recorded any green-finance exposure at all.

SREDA, BPDB and the Power Division

BPDB counts grid-connected renewables. SREDA counts a larger total once off-grid plants are included. Neither number is the share of electricity people actually receive. The World Bank put renewables at about 1.5% of national grid supply on 22 July 2026. The three institutions do not publish one reconciled figure.

On the record for this story: Md Saleuddin Zaman Khan (Managing director, NZ Apparels), Shafiqul Alam (Energy analyst, IEEFA) and Zakir Hossain Khan (Chief executive, Change Initiative). Their words are quoted in full under Why efficiency is easier to bank.

Right of reply

This interactive does not include a reply from Bangladesh Bank or from the banks as institutions, and nothing here is written as if they responded. Bangladesh Bank, SREDA, BPDB, the Power Division and any lender are invited to respond through Renew Earth News. Replies will be added here with the date received. The seven reforms below are the changes their own figures point to.

What would change the mix

Where the green money goes

Bangladesh’s banks are responding rationally to the incentives in front of them, and the result is misaligned with where the power sector needs to go. Until those conditions change, the 5.28× outstanding gap is a measure of the distance between ambition and the capital structure the transition requires.

41.4%
Efficiency · outstanding
vs
7.84%
Renewable · outstanding

The other 50.76% of the book sits in other green categories.

In green loans outstanding at 31 Dec 2025, efficiency is 5.28× the renewable book. New lending in Q4 2025 alone ran 9.8× in efficiency’s favour, but that is one quarter, not a trend.

Seven reforms that would change the mix

  1. 01

    A dedicated renewable-energy finance window

    Ring-fence a facility so renewables stop competing with every other green product, with published annual allocations and disbursement data.

  2. 02

    Conditional pre-approval, not reimbursement uncertainty

    Reserve refinance funds once appraisal is complete so borrowers know low-cost finance is committed before ordering equipment.

  3. 03

    Partial credit guarantees

    Cover a defined share of principal for borrowers without conventional collateral while keeping lenders' credit discipline intact.

  4. 04

    Match tenor to asset life

    Longer-tenor taka finance with realistic grace periods makes project cash flow, not unrelated property, the basis for repayment.

  5. 05

    Standardise contracts and appraisal

    Model PPAs, rooftop leases, engineering standards and due-diligence templates cut transaction costs and build bank capacity.

  6. 06

    Share off-taker, currency and construction risk

    Payment-security mechanisms, blended finance and currency facilities allocate risk to whoever can best manage it.

  7. 07

    Publish one reconciled energy-finance dashboard

    BB, SREDA, BPDB and the Power Division should link disbursement to commissioned projects and distinguish capacity from generation.

Methodology

How we did this

The definitions, dates and calculations behind every figure in this story.

Outstanding loans vs new lending
"Outstanding" is the stock of green loans still on lenders' books at 31 Dec 2025 (Tk 77,140.22 crore). "Disbursement" is new money lent during a period. The 5.28× gap compares stocks: Tk 31,931.42 crore in efficiency ÷ Tk 6,045.37 crore in renewables. The 9.8× gap compares new lending in one quarter, Q4 2025: Tk 3,453.76 crore ÷ Tk 352.60 crore. One quarter is not a trend.
Categories
Energy efficiency and renewable energy are Bangladesh Bank's own green-finance categories. "Other green" is everything else in the green book: Tk 39,163.43 crore, or 50.76%, including green establishments (Tk 16,529.70 crore) and liquid-waste management (Tk 6,412.28 crore).
Who is counted
Bangladesh Bank's review covers all 61 scheduled banks and 34 finance companies. In Q4 2025, 40 banks and 10 finance companies recorded green-finance exposure; the rest recorded none. Figures are as published, including the review's own rounding.
Disbursement over time
We have annual disbursement for 2021, 2024 and 2025 only; 2022 and 2023 are not in our data. 2025 disbursement (Tk 30,369.26 crore) was about 4.2× 2021 but slightly below 2024, and reached 44.78% of the Tk 67,820.83 crore target set for 2025.
Capacity is not generation
Capacity (megawatts) is what plants could produce; generation is the electricity they actually produced. BPDB counts 764 MW of grid-connected renewables (excluding hydro) at 30 Jun 2025. SREDA counts 1,818.86 MW at 22 Jul 2026, including 378.56 MW off-grid. Neither figure is renewables' share of electricity. The World Bank puts that at about 1.5% of national grid supply (published 22 July 2026); its page does not say which period the share covers.
Targets and models
The 20% (2030) and 30% (2040) targets are policy goals, not forecasts. IEEFA (5,831 MW by 2030) and CPD (18,202 MW by 2030) model the capacity needed under different demand and policy assumptions. We show both and do not average them.
What we did not do
We did not project, interpolate or smooth any series. Where only one dated reading exists, we plot that reading alone. The curved arrows in The Power Reality are our calculation of the constant yearly growth each policy target requires from the latest reading, placed in 2026, the year it was published; they are not a trend or a forecast. Figures are shown as published; shares may not sum to 100% because of rounding.

Check the figures

Download the table (CSV)

Every headline number, the date it refers to, and where it comes from. Ratios marked “Calculated” use only the two figures named in that row.

FigureValueAs ofSource
Green loans outstanding77140.22 Tk crore31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Energy efficiency outstanding31931.42 Tk crore31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Renewable energy outstanding6045.37 Tk crore31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Efficiency share of green book41.4 percent31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Renewable share of green book7.84 percent31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Other green share50.76 percent31 Dec 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Efficiency to renewable outstanding ratio5.28 times31 Dec 2025Calculated: 31931.42 / 6045.37
Q4 2025 efficiency disbursement3453.76 Tk croreQ4 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Q4 2025 renewable disbursement352.6 Tk croreQ4 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Q4 2025 efficiency to renewable ratio9.8 timesQ4 2025Calculated: 3453.76 / 352.6. One quarter, not a trend.
Green disbursement30369.26 Tk crore2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Green disbursement30653.78 Tk crore2024Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Green disbursement7232.85 Tk crore2021Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Bangladesh Bank disbursement target67820.83 Tk crore2025 onlyBangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Share of 2025 target met44.78 percent2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Banks with green-finance exposure40 of 61 banksQ4 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Finance companies with green-finance exposure10 of 34 companiesQ4 2025Bangladesh Bank, quarterly sustainable-finance review, Oct–Dec 2025
Renewables share of national grid supply1.5 percentPublished 22 Jul 2026 (period not stated)World Bank
Grid-connected renewables excluding hydro764 MW30 Jun 2025BPDB, Energy Scenario of Bangladesh 2024-25
Installed renewable capacity including off-grid1818.86 MW22 Jul 2026SREDA, National Database of Renewable Energy
Policy target, share of electricity20 percent2030Renewable Energy Policy 2025
Policy target, share of electricity30 percent2040Renewable Energy Policy 2025

Sources

  1. Bangladesh Bank, Quarterly Review Report on Sustainable Finance, October–December 2025Green loans outstanding at 31 Dec 2025, the Q4 2025 category split and the 40-of-61 banks / 10-of-34 finance companies with green-finance exposure (sections 4.1, 4.3 and 4.4); annual disbursement and the 2025 target (section 3.3.8); refinance schemes (section 5). Published rounding is kept.
  2. Bangladesh Bank, Participation Agreement: Refinance Scheme for Environment Friendly Products/Projects/InitiativesArticle IV, section 1(a): for projects that need a trial run, refinance is applied for after the trial. Later circulars may change current terms.
  3. Power Division, The Renewable Energy Policy 2025The 20% (2030) and 30% (2040) renewable targets, from the target table on the final page. The PDF sits on government cloud storage rather than a powerdivision.gov.bd address; link checked 24 September 2026.
  4. World Bank, Powering Bangladesh’s Future with Renewable Energy (22 July 2026)Renewables are about 1.5% of national grid supply. The page does not state the period this share refers to.
  5. IEEFA, Catalysing Renewable Energy Finance in Bangladesh (June 2025)Capacity needed by 2030 (printed page 12); annual investment needed to 2030 and 2040 (Figure 6, pages 18–19); the 2018–2023 historical average (page 22). The report gives both 5,831 MW and 5,851 MW for 2030; we use 5,831 MW.
  6. CPD, Revisiting Targets Set for Renewable Energy-based Power Generation by 2040 (January 2026)Modelled capacity and total capital needed to 2030 and 2040. Its assumptions are in section 6.2; Tables 9 and 14 give differing totals, which we have not reconciled.
  7. SREDA, National Database of Renewable EnergyInstalled renewable capacity including off-grid, as at 22 Jul 2026.
  8. BPDB, Energy Scenario of Bangladesh 2024-25Installed grid capacity by fuel, as at 30 Jun 2025.